US Elections

Jul 27, 2016 at 10:20
Przeglądane 2,268
69 Replies
Uczestnik z May 11, 2011   235 postów
Jul 27, 2016 at 10:20
Topic on the impact of US Elections on the markets before, during and after.
For every loss there should be at least an equal and opposite profit.
Uczestnik z Dec 11, 2015   1487 postów
Jul 28, 2016 at 08:54
I won't be trading while waiting for the results, just like I didn't when I was waiting for the Brexit results, that's for sure.
Uczestnik z May 11, 2011   235 postów
Jul 28, 2016 at 10:46
I'll continue trading with caution, at the moment I'm concentrating on getting my margin level up. Neither of the candidates are appealing, in the sense that 1. They mostly have attacked one another, instead of saying what makes themselves capable 2. Both have ideologies without any concrete plan (Trump is very ambitious, Clinton just basically regurgitating what the last 3 presidents have 'promised'). So I'll be looking at actual action and implementation for market movers and remain hesitant on media splurge.
For every loss there should be at least an equal and opposite profit.
Uczestnik z Jul 13, 2016   39 postów
Jul 28, 2016 at 20:29
I will also be careful (if I will find a good broker till that time), but I will be particularly closely watching the dollar movement. I offer to make some suggestions on how the dollar will behave depending on winning of each candidate. Besides we will have almost 3 months from the time of the decision made and the introduction of a new president in the post
sparkerse@
Uczestnik z Dec 11, 2015   1487 postów
Jul 30, 2016 at 09:16
I think we'll all be watching the dollar movement. Even if one's not trading dollar-related pairs, all the currencies are so interconnected with the dollar that whatever happens to it affects the rest of the market too.
Uczestnik z Jul 13, 2016   39 postów
Jul 30, 2016 at 18:59
mlawson71 absolutely agree with you, you just duplicate my thoughts. Eventually a lot of traders say that the dollar is rising the last few years, and then the dollar will collapse. And therefore I do not abandon the idea that the Amero is preparing to come and replace it, and all that awaits us in the near future. By the way, is there a topic which is discussed Amero on this forum? Could you please share link. Thank you in advance
sparkerse@
Uczestnik z Dec 11, 2015   1487 postów
Jul 31, 2016 at 09:30
Hero76 posted:
mlawson71 absolutely agree with you, you just duplicate my thoughts. Eventually a lot of traders say that the dollar is rising the last few years, and then the dollar will collapse. And therefore I do not abandon the idea that the Amero is preparing to come and replace it, and all that awaits us in the near future. By the way, is there a topic which is discussed Amero on this forum? Could you please share link. Thank you in advance

Frankly, up until you mentioned the Amero I hadn't even heard of it.
Now that I read up a little on it, I think I should say that in order for something like this to happen people would need to want such a change. Considering how everyone wants to close themselves within their own borders for various reasons I don't think that will happen anytime soon.
Uczestnik z Jul 13, 2016   39 postów
Jul 31, 2016 at 15:05
mlawson71 well, I have totally opposite point of view. I think that if Trump will win, he will pursue a policy of isolationism and largely focus on the internal problems of the country and will actively pursue a policy with its neighbors, so then Amero will be introduced. The US has a huge national debt that they simply cannot handle, and the emission no longer conducts. So Amero is a quite a way out of this situation. For me this picture become more obvious so that’s why I am so intently watching this US election
sparkerse@
Uczestnik z Dec 11, 2015   1487 postów
Aug 02, 2016 at 08:24
Hero76 posted:
mlawson71 well, I have totally opposite point of view. I think that if Trump will win, he will pursue a policy of isolationism and largely focus on the internal problems of the country and will actively pursue a policy with its neighbors, so then Amero will be introduced. The US has a huge national debt that they simply cannot handle, and the emission no longer conducts. So Amero is a quite a way out of this situation. For me this picture become more obvious so that’s why I am so intently watching this US election

Perhaps he will pursue such agreements with Canada - that is, if he gets elected. Considering his attitude towards Mexico - and how much he has already alienated Mexico, I can't see such a deal happening there. We'll have to wait and see.
Uczestnik z Oct 08, 2015   35 postów
Aug 05, 2016 at 16:53
It is quote possible for the US dollar to collapse, given the fact that during last couple of years it has being rising. Another interesting thing is that in US oil gets very cheap near president elections, and after that it's price goes back to normal. I know because friends of mine shared this information with them and I do tend to believe them
Trading is like football - if you don't practice you can't win the game!
Uczestnik z Dec 11, 2015   1487 postów
Aug 06, 2016 at 10:59
That sort of information is easy to check if one looks at the history of Oil charts and compares the time period around the elections to the Oil price at that time.
Uczestnik z Aug 12, 2016   15 postów
Aug 19, 2016 at 06:55
During this period, I won't trade for sure. There will be a lot of loopholes for market makers as always.
Uczestnik z Dec 11, 2015   1487 postów
Aug 20, 2016 at 10:01
I don't plan on trading then either. I always try to avoid trading during big fundamental events.
rob559
forex_trader_29148
Uczestnik z Feb 11, 2011   1916 postów
Aug 20, 2016 at 15:09
will scale down the risk at its minimum
Uczestnik z Jan 25, 2016   38 postów
Oct 27, 2016 at 12:53
From what I read and see in the news, I don't expect a major shift in the political orientation of the country. I think that if the status quo is kept after the elections, there won't be much impact of this event on the price patterns of all dollar-related pairs.
Minimising the risk, though, is a rule of thumb in such cases. I will keep trading around the elections.
Uczestnik z Dec 11, 2015   1487 postów
Oct 31, 2016 at 11:13
Brokers are certainly expecting an impact though. Many of them have already hiked their USD pair-related margins as well as the margins of some indices. (https://www.forexbrokerz.com/news/octafx-us-elections-margin) Others will likely do the same soon.
Uczestnik z Dec 16, 2011   297 postów
Oct 31, 2016 at 13:31
if Trumps wins USD will drop for like 10 % , thats what a hear
Uczestnik z May 11, 2011   235 postów
Oct 31, 2016 at 14:15
DrVodka posted:
if Trumps wins USD will drop for like 10 % , thats what a hear

And HRC a drop of 20%?

Let's be honest, anyone believing anything from HRC needs a reality check. Disregarding votes, ask who you would trust more to invest your money for you. I would not trust HRC with a dime of my money, but I would trust DT with no more than a Dollar.

For every loss there should be at least an equal and opposite profit.
Uczestnik z Oct 07, 2016   10 postów
Oct 31, 2016 at 15:27
As Clinton is a candidate standing up for democrats (same party as of Obama’s). Clinton gets a better probability of winning over Trump. On the other hand, Trump is very aggressive in nature and has a lot of followers which indicates that trump hasn’t lost yet. In my view, Trump has more likability factors than Clinton. But Clinton is giving all those promises as made earlier by Obama in previous two terms.
rob559
forex_trader_29148
Uczestnik z Feb 11, 2011   1916 postów
Oct 31, 2016 at 15:32
DrVodka posted:
if Trumps wins USD will drop for like 10 % , thats what a hear

hear from whom..?hate the globalists
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