Death crosses in ETH and BTC

Expert market comment from senior analyst Alex Kuptsikevich of the FxPro Analyst Team: Death crosses in ETH and BTC
FxPro | 669 days ago

Market picture

Crypto market capitalisation is almost the same level as a week ago - near 1.045 trillion. The Bitcoin pump and dump tickled the market with nerves, formally tied to events surrounding Grayscale's Bitcoin ETF fund.

Bitcoin has been pegged at $26K for more than two weeks. An attempt to move back above the 200-day average has technically encountered stronger selling, confirming that the bears are not relinquishing market control. This disposition suggests higher risks that the consolidation will end with downside momentum, potentially at $25K or even $24K.

On Ethereum's daily timeframes, a "death cross" has formed, with the 50-day moving average falling below the 200-day MA. Such a signal suggests a further decline, emphasising the bearish trend here. On the Bitcoin chart, such a pattern could form next week. But we also note that ETH already looks locally oversold.

Toncoin (TON) rose 26% over the week, taking the top spot for growth in the top 100 cryptocurrencies. The token soared to 11th place in CoinMarketCap's capitalisation ranking. In August, the number of registered addresses in the project's network exceeded 3.2 million.

News background

Throughout August, there was a slight but steady deviation of the USDT exchange rate from the US dollar, which is "a cause for concern," Kaiko notes. Meanwhile, quotes from USDT's competitors remained generally more stable.

Investment company Bitwise withdrew its application to launch an ETF based on a basket of bitcoin and Ethereum following the SEC's decision to postpone its review of applications to launch spot bitcoin ETFs.

Former SEC head Jay Clayton said it was inevitable that the regulator would approve a spot bitcoin-ETF. He said, the dichotomy between futures and spot products cannot continue forever.

A court in China has recognised cryptocurrency as legally protected property despite a ban on trading crypto assets in the country since 2017. Meanwhile, according to The Wall Street Journal, China accounts for a fifth of Binance's trading volume.

According to a report by crypto exchange KuCoin, 52% of Turkish residents aged 18 to 60 are investing in cryptocurrencies amid high inflation in the country. The figure has grown by 12% over the past 1.5 years.

By the FxPro Analyst Team

Regulation: FCA (UK), SCB (The Bahamas)
read more
Why Silver could be the precious metal of 2025

Why Silver could be the precious metal of 2025

The gold bar is metallic yellow and slightly behind the silver bar, which is metallic white and positioned in front. Gold may still be the headline act, but silver’s no longer content playing second fiddle. In 2025, silver isn’t just glittering - it’s surging forward as one of the most exciting metals on the market.
Deriv | 6h 15min ago
Risk-on sentiment fades as tariffs return to the spotlight 

Risk-on sentiment fades as tariffs return to the spotlight 

Dollar surrenders gains posted after robust labour market report; Trump celebrates US budget bill approval; scheduled to sign it today; Most Fed members feel more comfortable as July rate cut is priced out; Oil steadies near $66, gold rally retains momentum;
XM Group | 9h 56min ago
ATFX Market Outlook 4th July 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 4th July 2025

The U.S. economy added 147,000 jobs in June, beating expectations of 110,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. Traders are now betting that the Fed is unlikely to cut rates before September. Meanwhile, the House narrowly passed Trump's major fiscal bill by a vote of 218 to 214. U.S. stocks rallied on Thursday, hitting fresh record highs.
ATFX | 15h 31min ago
Nonfarm payrolls take center stage

Nonfarm payrolls take center stage

Slide in US private payrolls raise concerns about NFP miss - US strikes trade deal with Vietnam ahead of July 9 deadline - Pound feels the heat of fiscal shenanigans - S&P 500 hits fresh record high ahead of jobs report
XM Group | 1 day ago
Rate Shifts Steer FX Markets as Silver Holds Strong

Rate Shifts Steer FX Markets as Silver Holds Strong

On July 3, silver stays firm above $35.40 as Fed cut bets persist. EUR/USD holds near 1.1800, while GBP/USD lingers near 1.3585 ahead of UK jobs data. JPY strengthens after BoJ signals a hawkish pause. AUD/USD slips on weak trade surplus. Focus turns to US NFP and ISM data for market direction before the US holiday break.
Moneta Markets | 1 day ago