Analysis

EUR/USD – ECB Day: The Hike Is Certain, The Reaction Is Not

EUR/USD – ECB Day: The Hike Is Certain, The Reaction Is Not

The ECB's quarter-point hike to 2.25% is virtually certain, but that won't move EUR/USD—it's already priced in. The real catalyst comes when Lagarde speaks 30 minutes later. Will she signal more hikes ahead, or frame this as a one-off response to weak growth? That tone decides whether the euro rallies or drops despite the hike.
Born2trade | 1h 19min ago
US-Iran Tensions Escalate Anew; Focus Shifts to ECB Rate Hike

US-Iran Tensions Escalate Anew; Focus Shifts to ECB Rate Hike

On Wednesday, US stock indices dropped by over 1%, with the Dow down 1.87%, the S&P 500 down 1.62%, and the Nasdaq losing 1.98%. Concerns over US-Iran tensions unsettled investors, even as CPI met expectations. US Treasury yields rose slightly, the dollar slipped 0.1%, and spot gold fell over 4% to $4,073.46, the lowest since March 23. Crude prices rose above $90 per barrel amid renewed friction.
ATFX | 4h 27min ago
Oil Holds Steady Despite Escalating US-Iran Conflict

Oil Holds Steady Despite Escalating US-Iran Conflict

Iran shoots down US helicopter near Hormuz, triggering retaliatory strikes — yet markets shrug, WTI holds at $89. Gold drops below $4,200 as CPI looms; Citi warns of $3,500 if Hormuz stays shut. ADP cools to 29K/week. DXY steady near 100.00. US CPI and BoC rate decision due today.
CPT Markets | 4h 55min ago
Why Oil Prices Remain Under Pressure?

Why Oil Prices Remain Under Pressure?

Oil prices continue to soften due to some points: the US is drawing heavily on its strategic reserves, consumers are reducing fuel demand, and exporters are increasing supplies. Meanwhile, China is easing global energy tensions by cutting imports and purchasing only cheaper crude. But could these buffers last long enough to prevent the next supply-driven rally?
Headway | 17h 21min ago
US CPI in focus as risk appetite falters

US CPI in focus as risk appetite falters

Fresh US-Iran hostilities fail to push oil prices sustainably higher; peace deal expectations remain intact; US equity markets are under pressure despite strong SpaceX IPO demand; Today’s US CPI report could prove pivotal for Fed expectations and broader risk appetite; Dollar/yen climbs higher; can Japanese authorities keep their powder dry until the BoJ meeting?
XM Group | 23h 41min ago
Brent - Why Is Oil Falling?

Brent - Why Is Oil Falling?

Fresh strikes on Iran should push oil higher, but Brent trades near $93 instead. The market is betting on a peace deal, not escalation, while China's imports hit an eight-year low and OPEC+ raises output. Yet the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, and today's CPI report could trigger sharp moves. Is the bullish case collapsing, or is this just a temporary pause before the next surge?
Born2trade | 1 day ago
USDCAD looks exhausted near 2026 high

USDCAD looks exhausted near 2026 high

USDCAD has been stubbornly testing the critical 2026 ceiling of 1.3945-1.3980 over the past couple of days, increasing speculation that the bulls may be running out of fuel after six weeks of continuous gains within a tight bullish channel.
XM Group | 1 day ago
Middle East tensions spark market sell-off; all eyes on U.S. CPI tonight.

Middle East tensions spark market sell-off; all eyes on U.S. CPI tonight.

U.S. strikes on Iran have heightened tensions in the Middle East and increased risk aversion, contributing to market weakness ahead of the U.S. CPI data. Tonight’s CPI release could hit 4.2%, the highest since September 2022, which could affect Fed policy expectations and increase volatility. The Bank of Canada is expected to hold rates steady, but its statement may impact the CAD amid ongoing
ATFX | 1 day ago