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EUR/USD
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Apr 08, 2014
1141 โพสต์
Jun 29, 2015 at 07:39
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Apr 08, 2014
1141 โพสต์
On Friday session the EURUSD fell and closed in the red near the low of the day, below the 50-moving average. The Greek drama is coming to an end as Greece prepares to hold a referendum on July the 5th over its bailout program. Key levels to watch today the 1.1097 daily support, 1.1058 Fibonacci retracement (38.2) and 1.0955 Fibonacci retracement (50.0).
"I trade to make money not to be right."
Jun 29, 2015 at 08:10
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ May 01, 2015
675 โพสต์
EUR recorded a decrease against USD on Friday. The session started at a price of 1.1203 around noon and the pair reached the highest level for the day at 1.1219. After lunch direction went down at the end of the day the euro finished at a rate of 1.1169. In case that the downward trend of the last few days continues, the pair will move to the first support at 1.0815.
Jun 29, 2015 at 14:55
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jun 17, 2015
42 โพสต์
Interesting moves on EUR/USD today - trying to filling the overnight gap but it reeks of some central bank intervention - we already heard about the SNB move but it appears that something else may be afoot...
The reasons are clear - what we are witnessing is the start of the unraveling of the Euro - yes Greece is a small player but the inability of the larger members to save face is worrying...
The biggest worry is the precedent of a referendum - where the people will decide - irrespective of the result if the concept of an anti-austerity referendum expands to other member states then the foundations will rattle further...
There has been a clear move by Euro to destabilise the Greek government in advance of Sunday's pole - but this may just play into the hands of the 'No' vote.
The facts are very simple Greece cannot afford to pay the interest on its loans just now - the austerity measures being called for will cripple the Greek economy further - so the only logical result is a default and the wiping out of debt arising from loans that should never have been offered in the first place.
It shows the complete futility of trying to create an economic union without a political union - which will never happen...
As we all know as traders the first cut is the cheapest so the IMF and the other creditors should cut there loses now...
Yes Greece has been an epitome of tax avoidance but its not those people who suffer now - its the ordinary Greek in the street - and poverty is becoming a real issue...
A few of the forecasts pointed towards the Euro moving towards parity with the USD this year - that now seems to be an excellent long term investment to capture 1,000 plus pips.
In addition to Greece;s pending defaults there is the impact of Eurozone QE and the US/EURO future interest rate fundamentals to consider...
So I guess I am quick a Euro bear just now :)
Sean
The reasons are clear - what we are witnessing is the start of the unraveling of the Euro - yes Greece is a small player but the inability of the larger members to save face is worrying...
The biggest worry is the precedent of a referendum - where the people will decide - irrespective of the result if the concept of an anti-austerity referendum expands to other member states then the foundations will rattle further...
There has been a clear move by Euro to destabilise the Greek government in advance of Sunday's pole - but this may just play into the hands of the 'No' vote.
The facts are very simple Greece cannot afford to pay the interest on its loans just now - the austerity measures being called for will cripple the Greek economy further - so the only logical result is a default and the wiping out of debt arising from loans that should never have been offered in the first place.
It shows the complete futility of trying to create an economic union without a political union - which will never happen...
As we all know as traders the first cut is the cheapest so the IMF and the other creditors should cut there loses now...
Yes Greece has been an epitome of tax avoidance but its not those people who suffer now - its the ordinary Greek in the street - and poverty is becoming a real issue...
A few of the forecasts pointed towards the Euro moving towards parity with the USD this year - that now seems to be an excellent long term investment to capture 1,000 plus pips.
In addition to Greece;s pending defaults there is the impact of Eurozone QE and the US/EURO future interest rate fundamentals to consider...
So I guess I am quick a Euro bear just now :)
Sean
market nobility
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Nov 06, 2014
28 โพสต์
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jul 10, 2014
1117 โพสต์
Jun 29, 2015 at 17:47
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jul 10, 2014
1117 โพสต์
EUR/USD opened with a large gap but managed to recover it and continued climbing even after it recovered the gap towards the resistance at 1.1250, which coincides with the MA(89) on the four-hour filter chart. Should it break above that level it will probably reach 1.1300.
Jun 29, 2015 at 18:37
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jun 14, 2013
130 โพสต์
I'm really puzzled by the move in the EUR/USD today... I can understand the market trying to close the gap, but the whole day the pair has been climbing slowly. I'm no expert, but I kind of agree with Inari, it smells of the ECB silently intervening all day long in anticipation of the market reaction to Greece's default on it's IMF payment tomorrow...
Maybe you guys and gals have some better insight than me to what's going on...
Maybe you guys and gals have some better insight than me to what's going on...
Keep it simple, be disciplined, get rich slowly and above all protect your equity!
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jun 08, 2014
454 โพสต์
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Oct 27, 2014
53 โพสต์
Jun 29, 2015 at 21:54
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Apr 09, 2014
834 โพสต์
The euro bounced back like crazy. Rumor says there are might be a deal on the table for Greece, but haven't we heard that before? according to Dijsselbloem, the door is still open for Greece to come back to negotiating, so let's see.
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jan 31, 2014
83 โพสต์
Jun 29, 2015 at 22:04
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jan 31, 2014
83 โพสต์
Greece hopes its people say no. A showdown scenario starts next Monday and we go round the circle again.
If Euro to fall then it be after default deadline of 11pm brig summer time tomorrow.l
If Euro to fall then it be after default deadline of 11pm brig summer time tomorrow.l
Si eius XCIX% Ius ergo est Nefas - Sileo processus (If its 99% Right then it is Wrong - Restart the process)
Jun 30, 2015 at 06:23
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jun 17, 2015
42 โพสต์
So to put my money where my mouth is - going short at 1.12 let see what happens :)
One can help thinking the EUR/USD is being fattened up for the slaughter
I am sure Mr Soros, with his fond memories of GBP in 1992 is on the sidelines salivating :)
Sean
One can help thinking the EUR/USD is being fattened up for the slaughter
I am sure Mr Soros, with his fond memories of GBP in 1992 is on the sidelines salivating :)
Sean
market nobility
Jun 30, 2015 at 06:32
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jun 17, 2015
42 โพสต์
Looking at a trading volume ladder on Hotspot FXI this afternoon it is interesting and pretty obvious the euro supporting intervention that is taking place. It is probably augmented by some of the algo-systems out there - 12:55 eastern and 13:30 eastern are two good examples where volumes suddenly surged and the euro shot up. Note the times - lunch time US and close of play in UK - strategically timed for most impact when traders are more likely to be away from their desks. But the steady falls should win out in the end. It remind me of the vain attempts of 'Nick Leeson' (aka Ewan McGregor) in Rogue Trader to support the Nikkei... and we all know how that ended :)
Sean
Sean
market nobility
Jun 30, 2015 at 06:35
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ May 01, 2015
675 โพสต์
EUR started with powerful rise in the first day of the week. The pair opened at a rate of 1.1005 after strong uptrend throughout the session, eventually closed at a rate of 1.1235. In case that the upward movement continues, we can expect an attempt to test the resistance located at 1.1467.
Jun 30, 2015 at 06:36
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ May 21, 2015
5 โพสต์
puzzled with their drama? :D...
eurusd went down, bearish the gold, and china took all the gold from usd, and put it into the basic of banking, EUROPE!
boom baby, that's why a single fighter cant fight a whole union.. ever!
eurusd went down, bearish the gold, and china took all the gold from usd, and put it into the basic of banking, EUROPE!
boom baby, that's why a single fighter cant fight a whole union.. ever!
Live your life, take no regrets!
Jun 30, 2015 at 06:38
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jun 17, 2015
42 โพสต์
Sceadagenga posted:
Greece hopes its people say no. A showdown scenario starts next Monday and we go round the circle again.
If Euro to fall then it be after default deadline of 11pm brig summer time tomorrow.l
Yes agree and whats more if (and probably when the default happens) after today's bounce - its not really priced as the Eur/Usd is at levels where agreement was still on the cards - the default announcement will happen when the market volume is at its thinnest so we could see a big move to the south - perhaps prompting Asia markets to follow suit when they get going - 200 pips or more could disappear swiftly...
Sean
market nobility
Jun 30, 2015 at 06:47
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jul 22, 2014
36 โพสต์
saintdev posted:
puzzled with their drama? :D...
eurusd went down, bearish the gold, and china took all the gold from usd, and put it into the basic of banking, EUROPE!
boom baby, that's why a single fighter cant fight a whole union.. ever!
Well Said and Excellent Observation 😎
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