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CONTRACTED CUT: MARKETS REMAIN CALM DURING U.S. SHUTDOWN
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Oct 12 at 05:29
The U.S. government shutdown has already lasted over a week, but financial markets remain surprisingly stable. The immediate economic impact has been limited, which explains investors’ apparent indifference to the deadlock in Washington. However, the situation could change if back pay is not granted or if delays in payments persist.Yesterday, the Nasdaq rose 1.1%, the S&P 500 gained 0.6% and reached record highs, while the Dow Jones remained steady. Attempts in the Senate to end the shutdown failed, highlighting the political stalemate.In the monetary field, the Fed’s minut...
Lumi Capital FX
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Oct 09 at 11:44
The market remains focused on politics in France, with Macron promising to appoint a new prime minister within 48 hours to calm the crisis and avoid early elections. In the U.S., expectations of interest rate cuts in October and December are growing stronger after the Fed minutes, while the dollar recovers against several currencies.In Asia, the yen reacts to Sanae Takaichi’s victory and the pressure for the Bank of Japan to keep interest rates low, despite inflation being above target. Gold and silver continue to rise, driven by political instability and expectations of monetary easing....
Lumi Capital FX
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Oct 08 at 13:48
In the U.S., the trading session was challenging, with indexes closing lower: Nasdaq -0.7%, S&P 500 -0.4%, and Dow Jones -0.2%.Notably, Trilogy Metals shares rose more than 200% after the Trump administration announced a US$35.6 million investment to strengthen domestic supply of essential minerals from Alaska. Oracle shares fell after revealing weaker cloud margins due to Nvidia chips.Investors are awaiting the minutes from the Fed’s latest meeting, where it cut interest rates in September for the first time this year. The market is betting on further cuts later this year, but p...
Lumi Capital FX
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Oct 08 at 13:47
🟡 GOLD SURPASSES US$4,000 ON STRONG ASIAN DEMANDGold (XAU/USD) hit a record of US$4,000 during the Asian session, driven by strong buying interest. The rally is supported by expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts, geopolitical risks, and growing economic uncertainty due to the U.S. government shutdown.The market is reacting as investors seek safe-haven assets, while the U.S. shutdown limits key economic data releases, such as the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, complicating the Fed’s decisions. The expectation is for a 25-basis-point rate cut at the next Fed meeting, with a po...
Lumi Capital FX
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Oct 07 at 12:05
USD/JPY — Testing resistance at 150.92 (August 1 high) and 151.30 (March double top). Caution is recommended in breakouts above 151.00, with the possibility of selling, as the pair is above the level suggested by 2-year US–Japan bond spreads.EUR/USD — Support at the 100-day moving average around 1.1627; next relevant support at 1.1575. Downward pressure dominates, with RSI below 50 and negative MACD indicating possible renewed decline.GOLD (XAU/USD) — In an ascending channel from US$3,720, with solid support around US$3,940. Immediate resistances at US$3,980 and US$4,00...
Lumi Capital FX
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Oct 07 at 12:02
Gold price (XAU/USD) reached a record high near $3,920, driven by uncertainty over the U.S. government shutdown and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The failure of U.S. senators to approve proposals to reopen the government prolongs the shutdown, increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. The market is reacting with strong inflows into gold, supported by speculation about a possible 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s next meeting. The potential for an additional rate cut by the end of the year further reinforces gold’s appeal, as it does not yield...
Lumi Capital FX
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Oct 07 at 12:01
Global markets are watching closely the BoE’s speech and the political crisis in France. In Japan, Takaichi’s election brings expectations of a looser monetary policy, moving the USD/JPY.Meanwhile, gold is surging to record highs amid uncertainty over the U.S. government shutdown, and copper remains firm amid tight supply.
Lumi Capital FX
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Oct 02 at 17:32
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Lumi Capital FX
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Oct 02 at 17:19
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Lumi Capital FX
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Oct 02 at 17:15
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