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Bitcoin (BTC) analysis thread

Seb King (sebking1986)
May 11 2020 at 11:29
348 โพสต์
Little dip over the weekend to get some cheaper buy prices I wonder. Hopefully still bullish!

If you can't spot the liquidity then you are the liquidity.
georgequayle
May 13 2020 at 18:53
30 โพสต์
momo3HC
May 17 2020 at 15:03
267 โพสต์





Hi all. Like i`ve promised you last time, into the next couple of analysis i`ll show you the needed steps 1 by 1 from BTC to reach the next ATH. I`ve discussed the first two into my last two analysis and now it`s a time for the final third one.
Here`s the third step to the next ATH (chart 1).
Many of you will say that after every single halvening, the next ATH takes more time. That`s right but not at 100%. I`m finding a very strict and simple rule into the past 2 ATH. Yes the 20K ATH took more time from the halvening than the previous one but… and this is a big but, check the time between breaking the previous ATH price after the every halvening and the next ATH. In both cases it`s exactly 10 months.
And here comes the third step to the next ATH. We can say that 10 months after we break the $19666 price level we can expect the next all-time high. When will be that ATH? Like I said all depends from the nearly $20k break.

So let`s summarize all 3 steps.
1. 21 monthly EMA. April candle closed above it. The first condition is already fulfilled.
2. A monthly close above $10500 and a HH (higher high) into the weekly chart.
3. Break above the last ATH ($20k) and 10 months of time.
That`s all. Simple enough.

Actual situation (chart 2).
1. Support and resistance:
1.1. Support:
1st support - $8500 - 50% Fibo and VPVR profile
2nd support - $7800
1.2. Resistance:
1st resistance - $9500-9800
2nd resistance - $10500 – that will be a MAJOR resistance not only for the mid-term but also in a long-term, on the way to the next ATH like mentioned above.
2. Weekly pivot point is $8971.39. The price is far above it for now which is positive for the next week but let`s where this week will close.
3. 50 SMA situation is same like the pivot point. The price is far above it for now which is positive for the next week but let`s where this week will close.
4. 21 weekly EMA is far below the price for now. Not bad at all and it`s going to cross the 50 SMA which is another good sign.
5. With this week candle (if it close like now) we`re breaking the symmetrical triangle from the upside. Very positive sign.
That`s all for now.
See ya next time.



ไฟล์แนบ :


Seb King (sebking1986)
May 18 2020 at 07:12
348 โพสต์
Going to be an interesting 10 months for sure. I expect to see another push at $10k this week

If you can't spot the liquidity then you are the liquidity.
georgequayle
May 18 2020 at 15:06
30 โพสต์
Treeny
May 18 2020 at 18:13
211 โพสต์
Nice analysis there. I think $10k again this week

Karlos Fandango (Smith2525)
May 19 2020 at 11:56
82 โพสต์
Nice analysis! I hope we get that push up the the major 10,500 resistance. I think I’ll take profit around there and look to re-buy the dip from there if that happens

Taeusz_1 (Taeusz1342354)
May 22 2020 at 11:19
21 โพสต์
Bitcoin will always be ahead of all cryptocurrencies.


IAnastasI
May 22 2020 at 15:32
14 โพสต์
How do you think? I saw the analize of momo3HC regarding halving. Is it possible BTC rich the 20000$ line?

momo3HC
Jun 07 2020 at 14:08
267 โพสต์





Hi all. Kind a long time no see from me but this time you`ve got to excuse me again. I`m not in a mood for some big charting so i`ll be short and share with you the actual weekly chart from the last time plus some new Stock to flow model.

Actual situation (chart 1).
Support and resistance:
Support:
1st support - $8500 - 50% Fibo and VPVR profile
2nd support - $7800
Resistance:
1st resistance - $9500-9800
2nd resistance - $10500 – that will be a MAJOR resistance not only for the mid-term but also in a long-term, on the way to the next ATH like mentioned above.
Weekly pivot point is $9278.15.
50 SMA is below the price for now.
21 EMA is below the price for now.
We`re very close to a bullish cross between 21EMA and 50SMA but let`s wait for confirmation.
Whole this week candle is above the symmetrical triangle. Very positive sign.
As a conclusion i`m expecting a positive next week.

New Stock to flow model. (chart 2).

With the actual money printing and very possible inflation and even hyperinflation the future BTC price can reach $100k, $1mil. and more. But what will be the purchase power of this $100k or $1mil.? I think that`s the big question. Unlike the FIAT, Gold is gold. No matter now, before 100 of years or after 100 of years. That`s why the latest BTC vs Gold Stock to flow model is getting more important. Just check the chart.

That`s all for now.
See ya next time.

ไฟล์แนบ :


Seb King (sebking1986)
Jun 07 2020 at 14:26
348 โพสต์
Shame it rejected the $10500 mark again. Hopefully some more consolidation a $9500 before another go

If you can't spot the liquidity then you are the liquidity.
Karlos Fandango (Smith2525)
Jun 08 2020 at 01:18
82 โพสต์
It's good to see that we haven't fallen below 9k for a while. Buying pressure is strong

momo3HC
Jun 20 2020 at 18:43
267 โพสต์


Hi all. A lot of things happened lately and here I am again. This time only BTC chart (a weekly one) and no other distraction.
You can ask why and the answer is very simple – I want to be strictly price action orientated this time.
We saw a lot of movement in both directions but as you`ll see from the chart – nothing major changed.
Actual situation.
The price is trying to breach the upside line but can`t do it. Only a small fake out for now. The game is not over yet.
10 EMA – the price perfectly bounced from it this week and it`s back above.
21 EMA - the price is still above it.
Correlation between 10 and 21 EMA – Despite the Corona drop every time when the 10 EMA is above the 21 EMA and the price is above both we can predict a very good bull period.
Parabolic SAR – 8 weeks bullish signaling.
Weekly pivot point is $9413.80 – 50:50 possibility to close the week below it which can lead to negative next week.
Support and resistance:
7.1. Support:
1st support - $8500 - 50% Fibo and VPVR profile
2nd support - $7800
7.2. Resistance:
1st resistance - $9500-9800
2nd resistance - $10500 – that will be a MAJOR resistance not only for the mid-term but also in a long-term, on the way to the next ATH like mentioned above.
So as a conclusion theres plan A and B. Im 70:30 for plan A but who knows.
There`s no matter for me in long term. Both scenarios ends with the same final so BE HEALTHY and HODL.

That`s all for now.
See ya next time.

ไฟล์แนบ :


Seb King (sebking1986)
Jun 22 2020 at 08:44
348 โพสต์
Plan A possibly but it has been hard to gauge recently.

If you can't spot the liquidity then you are the liquidity.
vontogr (togr)
Jun 22 2020 at 09:40
4862 โพสต์
momo3HC posted:


Hi all. A lot of things happened lately and here I am again. This time only BTC chart (a weekly one) and no other distraction.
You can ask why and the answer is very simple – I want to be strictly price action orientated this time.
We saw a lot of movement in both directions but as you`ll see from the chart – nothing major changed.
Actual situation.
The price is trying to breach the upside line but can`t do it. Only a small fake out for now. The game is not over yet.
10 EMA – the price perfectly bounced from it this week and it`s back above.
21 EMA - the price is still above it.
Correlation between 10 and 21 EMA – Despite the Corona drop every time when the 10 EMA is above the 21 EMA and the price is above both we can predict a very good bull period.
Parabolic SAR – 8 weeks bullish signaling.
Weekly pivot point is $9413.80 – 50:50 possibility to close the week below it which can lead to negative next week.
Support and resistance:
7.1. Support:
1st support - $8500 - 50% Fibo and VPVR profile
2nd support - $7800
7.2. Resistance:
1st resistance - $9500-9800
2nd resistance - $10500 – that will be a MAJOR resistance not only for the mid-term but also in a long-term, on the way to the next ATH like mentioned above.
So as a conclusion theres plan A and B. Im 70:30 for plan A but who knows.
There`s no matter for me in long term. Both scenarios ends with the same final so BE HEALTHY and HODL.

That`s all for now.
See ya next time.


The thing is there is a range from 9400 BTCUSD where traders buy and as soon as it get close to 10,000 they sell.
So 10,000 is svery strong resistance.
Even breaking 10,000 is not enough. I believe unless we breach 10400 there will be no break out till the moon.

Pezza
Jun 22 2020 at 18:53
60 โพสต์
Watched a very good analysis on the BTC moment suggesting that there could be a big spike to the lower side around 6k mark which will hold for a day or 2 before we rally into the year and break the 15k by September. half tempted to set some limit orders and see if i can get in on the drop.

Mark6 (Mark635357)
Jun 23 2020 at 11:45
7 โพสต์
I think that predicting the movement of bitcoin is not as easy as many people say

vontogr (togr)
Jun 23 2020 at 12:13
4862 โพสต์
Pezza posted:
Watched a very good analysis on the BTC moment suggesting that there could be a big spike to the lower side around 6k mark which will hold for a day or 2 before we rally into the year and break the 15k by September. half tempted to set some limit orders and see if i can get in on the drop.


Every good analyses should have statement that it is not investment reccommendation :)

momo3HC
Jun 28 2020 at 10:44
267 โพสต์






Hi all. A boring week for me even with almost $1000 from the bottom to the peak of the BTC price.
This week will be only a small update from the last one plus one bullish chart and opinion from Bloomberg. I`m expecting next week and end of the month for more conclusions.
Actual situation. (chart 1)
1. The price is still trying to breach the upside line but still can`t do it.
2. 10 EMA – the price almost perfectly bounced from it again this week and it`s back above (for now).
3. 21 EMA - the price is still above it even without a touch of it.
4. Correlation between 10 and 21 EMA – Despite the Corona drop every time when the 10 EMA is above the 21 EMA and the price is above both we can predict a very good bull period.
5. Parabolic SAR – 9 weeks bullish signaling.
6. Weekly pivot point is $9259.78 – a similar scenario like the last week. Sorry to say it but seems like we`ll end this week below it which can lead to another negative week next week, and remember that almost In the middle of it will be the end of the month.
7. Support and resistance:
7.1. Support:
1st support - $8500 - 50% Fibo and VPVR profile
2nd support - $7800
7.2. Resistance:
1st resistance - $9500-9800
2nd resistance - $10500 – that will be a MAJOR resistance not only for the mid-term but also in a long-term, on the way to the next ATH like mentioned above.

A Bloomberg view. (chart 2)
According to Bloomberg, the narrowest ever bollinger bands suggest that Bitcoin is consolidating for a major breakout. In their opinion, Bitcoin is priming to break out of the upper resistance level of $13,000. At the same time, he says that it is critical that price does not fall below $6,500. For more perspective check their chart.

That`s all for now and let`s hope for a better end of the month than the actual one.
See ya next time.

ไฟล์แนบ :


Anoxiare
Jun 29 2020 at 08:10
22 โพสต์
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